Port Royal Sound FoundationPRSound Science
Land Cover

Forty Years of Change

Land cover today · 2024 NLCD Annual

What the watershed looks like now.

The 2024 Annual NLCD maps every acre of Port Royal Sound across 15 land cover classes. Each class tells a distinct ecological story, from the lowest tidal flat to the most upland pine plantation.

2024 land cover · acres

  • Woody Wetland

    22.5% of watershed

    215,858
  • Forest

    21.9% of watershed

    210,163
  • Open Water

    20.1% of watershed

    192,869
  • Emergent Wetland

    11.7% of watershed

    112,295
  • Developed

    11.2% of watershed

    107,889
  • Developed, open space
    54,541
  • Developed, low intensity
    36,879
  • Developed, medium intensity
    14,354
  • Developed, high intensity
    2,115
  • Agriculture

    6.5% of watershed

    62,496
  • Shrub / Herbaceous

    5.6% of watershed

    53,970
  • Barren Land

    0.5% of watershed

    4,406

Wetlands dominate.

Woody wetland

215,858ac · 22.5%

Emergent wetland

112,295ac · 11.7%

Altogether, 328k acres of NLCD-mapped wetland comprise 34% of the watershed. Woody wetland covers bottomland forests and cypress swamps; emergent wetland captures tidal and freshwater marshes.

Forest is the second anchor.

Forest

210,163ac · 21.9% of watershed

Pine plantations and mixed pine-hardwood forests form much of the upland forest cover. Bottomland hardwoods are largely captured in NLCD's Woody Wetlands class above. Forest cover has shrunk by 31,951 acres since 1985.

Development has grown 72%.

All developed

107,889ac · 11.2%

Open space dev

54,541ac · largest subclass

From 62,784 acres in 1985 to 107,889 in 2024. Open-space development (low-intensity residential, golf, parkland) is the largest single subclass, reflecting the coastal resort and residential character of Beaufort County.

Annual NLCD · MRLC 1985–2024

Forty years of continuous change.

The Annual NLCD provides land cover for every year from 1985 to 2024, 40 consecutive snapshots of the watershed. Each class traces a distinct trajectory: development's steady climb, agriculture's long retreat, forest's compression, and the wetland classes holding remarkably stable.

Land cover trajectory 1985–2024 · annual acres

Use the buttons to show or hide groups. Hover for values.

Open Water includes estuarine and freshwater water bodies within the analysis extent.

Land cover transitions · 1985–2024

What changed into what.

Every colored ribbon is land that switched class between 1985 and 2024. The alluvial shows both the dominant conversion flows, forest to development and agriculture back to forest, and the smaller but ecologically significant reversals, including land that returned from development to forest cover.

Class-to-class flows · 1985→2024

Ribbons colored by 1985 source class. Stable land (same class in both years) shown faint. Hover for acres.

Developed → Developed: 60,740 acForest → Forest: 171,186 acShrub / Herbaceous → Shrub / Herbaceous: 8,148 acAgriculture → Agriculture: 56,070 acWoody Wetland → Woody Wetland: 213,857 acEmergent Wetland → Emergent Wetland: 102,844 acOpen Water → Open Water: 189,015 acForest → Shrub / Herbaceous: 32,642 acForest → Developed: 32,032 acShrub / Herbaceous → Forest: 18,357 acAgriculture → Forest: 18,113 acAgriculture → Shrub / Herbaceous: 13,492 acWoody Wetland → Emergent Wetland: 8,546 acAgriculture → Developed: 6,610 acForest → Agriculture: 4,458 acShrub / Herbaceous → Developed: 4,396 acWoody Wetland → Developed: 3,834 acDeveloped → Forest: 1,424 acForest → Open Water: 1,419 acEmergent Wetland → Open Water: 1,348 acWoody Wetland → Forest: 1,089 acShrub / Herbaceous → Agriculture: 1,082 acOpen Water → Emergent Wetland: 1,056 acShrub / Herbaceous → Open Water: 960 acOpen Water → Shrub / Herbaceous: 921 acAgriculture → Woody Wetland: 855 acWoody Wetland → Agriculture: 844 acEmergent Wetland → Woody Wetland: 548 acDeveloped63k acForest242k acShrub / Herbaceous33k acAgriculture95k acWoody Wetland229k acEmergent Wetland105k acOpen Water191k acDeveloped108k acForest210k acShrub / Herbaceous56k acAgriculture63k acWoody Wetland216k acEmergent Wetland112k acOpen Water193k ac19852024

Only flows of 500 acres or more are drawn (21 flows). Width is proportional to acres transferred.

Key change flows (1985→2024)

  • Forest → Shrub / Herbaceous
    32,642
  • Forest → Developed
    32,032
  • Shrub / Herbaceous → Forest
    18,357
  • Agriculture → Forest
    18,113
  • Agriculture → Shrub / Herbaceous
    13,492
  • Woody Wetland → Emergent Wetland
    8,546
  • Agriculture → Developed
    6,610
  • Shrub / Herbaceous → Developed
    4,396

Reversion flows · land that came back

Development → Forest: 1,424 ac

Low-intensity developed land cleared and allowed to revert: old golf courses, abandoned residential lots, conservation acquisitions. A real and measurable signal in the NLCD record.

Development → Shrub/Herb: 413 ac · Agriculture: 207 ac

Abandoned fields and edges reverting to scrub, and formerly developed parcels reverting to agriculture. Rare, but present.

Agriculture → Forest: 18,113 ac

Fallow fields, conservation easements, and natural succession converting former cropland and pasture back to forest. A substantial ecological gain that partially offsets forest-to-development losses.

Harvest & regrowth · annual pulse

Forest and scrub trade substantial two-way volume.

The most counterintuitive signal in the 40-year record: shrub and herbaceous cover has grown by 21k acres while 18k acres that were shrub in 1985 are forest again by 2024. This pattern is consistent with active timber harvest, clear-cutting followed by replanting that cycles through the landscape continuously.

Annual forest loss and regrowth signal · 1985–2024

When forest becomes shrub/herbaceous, the bar rises above zero. When shrub/herbaceous becomes forest, the bar falls below zero. The line tracks total forest acres on the right axis.

Shrub/herbaceous includes NLCD Shrub/Scrub (52) and Herbaceous (71). Barren Land is reported separately in the 2024 snapshot and is absent from this historical series. Annual transitions may count the same land more than once as it moves through repeated cycles.

The harvest cycle.

Clear-cut pine stands can read as shrub/herbaceous for a few years, then read as forest again as the canopy closes. The result is a background cycle that the single 1985→2024 comparison does not show.

Net position 1985–2024.

Forest net change

−31,951ac · 242k→210k

Shrub/herb net change

+21,001ac · 33k→54k

Across the annual maps, 160,167 acres changed from forest to shrub/herbaceous and 149,617 acres changed back. These are repeated year-to-year transitions, not unique acres. The 31,951-acre net forest decline reflects transitions among all land-cover groups, not only this pair.